Varvara Gracheva vs Karolina Muchova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Muchova recently excels in second serve performance, with a win rate of 48.26% on second serve points, compared to Gracheva's 40.43%.
• When it comes to returning games, Gracheva has the advantage, winning 50.1% of her opponents' second serves, slightly outperforming Muchova's 48.48%.
• Gracheva also leads in first serve return stats, with a win percentage of 34.79%, versus Muchova's 29.76%.
• Under pressure, Muchova is more effective at saving breakpoints, with a 56.07% save rate against Gracheva's 50.52%.
• In the past year, Muchova has a superior match win percentage (67.39%) compared to Gracheva (51.67%).
• Analyzing surface preferences, Gracheva shows her best results on clay (65%) but struggles on grass (44%). Muchova shines on hard courts (70%) but performs less impressively on grass (57%).
• Assessing the level of competition, Muchova often faces stronger opponents, with an average rank of 62.37, while Gracheva’s opponents have an average rank of 122.9.
• Deciding sets see Gracheva winning 48% of the time in the last 12 months, slightly higher than Muchova’s 43%.
• For converting breakpoints, Gracheva converts 36.77% of the time, closely matched by Muchova’s 35.64% conversion rate.
• Given their recent performance, who appears to be in better form? Based on these metrics, Muchova seems to have the edge.

Editorial Prediction (August 12, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Varvara Gracheva and Karolína Muchova promises to be closely contested, with each player bringing specific strengths to the court.

Muchova's recent form boasts a stronger second serve performance and the ability to save critical breakpoints, which can be pivotal in tense match situations. Her success on hard surfaces further complements her playing style, especially given the tournament's surface.

Although Gracheva demonstrates a solid return game and a slight edge in deciding sets, her performance against lower-ranked opponents may not prepare her adequately for the challenges that Muchova, accustomed to competing against higher-caliber players, presents.

Taking all factors into account, including recent win percentages and opponent quality, Karolína Muchova is projected to have the upper hand in this matchup.